Monday, November 15, 2010
Michael Norton The News Service of Florida
Posted in part November 13, 2010
The pace of the recovery in the nation is moderating and the lift spurred by nearly $800 billion in federal stimulus spending is fading, but there are several promising signs that growth will continue, including in Florida, a leading national fiscal analyst told reporters Friday morning.
Moody’s Analytics economist Chris Lafakis said the Federal Reserve will remain aggressive, with a quantitative easing plan that he equated to “basically flooding the global monetary system.” Lafakis predicted the strategy would lift asset prices, reduce corporate borrowing costs, and increase the willingness of consumers to spend.
Lafakis predicted substantial growth in Florida’s economy, mentioning that areas are expected to recover “quite significantly” due to a rebound in population growth and a willingness of more people to travel to Florida for vacations. “The story of pent-up demand is true in no place more so than Florida,” he said.
Nationally, corporate balance sheets are strong and business profits have “fully recovered from the recession,” he said, adding that businesses are in the position to hire more employees, but their level of willingness varies.
“It’s truly the case that profit growth leads job growth,” Lafakis told state government reporters gathered for the annual conference of the Association of Capitol Reporters and Editors.
Household liabilities in the United States have fallen by $900 billion since peaking two years ago and a shift to spending and addressing pent-up demand for purchasing “creates a lot of economic juice,” Lafakis said.